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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Avellan vs Jackson Soares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AvellanNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
Jackson SoaresNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
25%
Strike accuracy
Not available
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David AvellanJackson Soares
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson Soares59%
David Avellan 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson Soares a 59% favorite over David Avellan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Avellan's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1500), separated by just 9 points.

Jackson Soares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jackson Soares 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.