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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Avellan vs Rade Novaković

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeightTBD
TeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David AvellanNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Rade NovakovićNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
25%
Strike accuracy
Not available
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David AvellanRade Novaković
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Avellan and Rade Novaković within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1502), separated by just 7 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.