David Baron vs Marcos Aurélio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
169 lbsWeight152 lbs
Haute TensionTeamMutaru
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David BaronMarcos Aurélio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Baron and Marcos Aurélio within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.
Marcos Aurélio enters on a 2-fight win streak.
David Baron finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Aurélio 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.