Combat Edge Intelligence

David Bielkheden vs Diego Sanchez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Diego Sanchez
us

Diego Sanchez

“The Nightmare”

30-14-0WelterweightEFC

1681Good

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record30-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Diego Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — David Bielkheden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David BielkhedenNow 1633
If they win+14→ 1647
If they lose-10→ 1623
Diego SanchezNow 1681
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
57%
Strike accuracy
38%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
55%
Strike defense
56%
2.65
Takedown avg.
1.51
64%
Takedown accuracy
24%
14%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

David BielkhedenDiego Sanchez
160016501700201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
4 (15%)
Submission
6 (21%)
10 (38%)
Decision
13 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Sanchez68%
David Bielkheden 32%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 68% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Diego Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1633, a 48-point edge.

Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Bielkheden finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Diego Sanchez 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.