Combat Edge Intelligence

David Bielkheden vs Mark Bocek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Mark Bocek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — David Bielkheden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David BielkhedenNow 1633
If they win+14→ 1647
If they lose-10→ 1623
Mark BocekNow 1697
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-19→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
57%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
55%
Strike defense
61%
2.65
Takedown avg.
3.65
64%
Takedown accuracy
37%
14%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
1.32

Trajectory

David BielkhedenMark Bocek
16001650170020122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (15%)
Submission
7 (58%)
10 (38%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Bocek78%
David Bielkheden 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Bocek a 78% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Mark Bocek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1633, a 64-point edge.

David Bielkheden finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.