Combat Edge Intelligence

David Branch vs Gerald Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record26-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
42,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamHurricane Fitness

What's at stake

David Branch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gerald Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David BranchNow 1759
If they win+9→ 1768
If they lose-15→ 1744
Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-9→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.22
40%
Strike accuracy
26%
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.10
57%
Strike defense
63%
2.55
Takedown avg.
2.62
33%
Takedown accuracy
57%
44%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David BranchGerald Harris
1650170017501800201720182019

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
7 (32%)
Submission
2 (8%)
9 (41%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

David Branch78%
Gerald Harris 22%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes David Branch a 78% favorite over Gerald Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

David Branch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1661, a 98-point edge.

David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Branch finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Harris 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.