David Branch vs Luke Rockhold
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
42,0"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
David Branch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luke Rockhold carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1770
If they lose-13→ 1746
If they win+17→ 1759
If they lose-15→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David BranchLuke Rockhold
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Rockhold57%
David Branch 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 57% favorite over David Branch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Branch's way (48%).
David Branch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1742, a 17-point edge.
David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Branch finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Luke Rockhold 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.