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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dvořák vs Umalat Israpilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record18-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
68"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David DvořákNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Umalat IsrapilovNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
0.58
Takedown avg.
Not available
30%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
70%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.19
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David DvořákUmalat Israpilov
1650170020242025

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
8 (40%)
Submission
4 (22%)
4 (20%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

David Dvořák60%
Umalat Israpilov 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 60% favorite over Umalat Israpilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1659), separated by just 1 points.

David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Umalat Israpilov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

David Dvořák finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Umalat Israpilov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.