Combat Edge Intelligence

David Heath vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Heath
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David Heath

“The Headhunter”

18-7-0Light HeavyweightKOTC

1676Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record27-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach80″
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
Absolute Combat AllianceTeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David HeathNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
30%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
49%
Strike defense
48%
0.33
Takedown avg.
1.09
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
57%
Takedown defense
67%
0.98
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

David HeathOvince St. Preux
1650170020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
8 (44%)
Submission
8 (30%)
3 (17%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

David Heath56%
Ovince St. Preux 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Heath a 56% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ovince St. Preux's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.

David Heath enters on a 2-fight win streak.

David Heath finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.