David Heath vs Thiago Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record22-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach 76"
203 lbsWeight241 lbs
Absolute Combat AllianceTeamTeam Marreta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David HeathThiago Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Santos75%
David Heath 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Santos a 75% favorite over David Heath in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Heath's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.
David Heath enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Thiago Santos enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
David Heath finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.