Combat Edge Intelligence

David Heath vs Victor Valimaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Heath
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David Heath

“The Headhunter”

18-7-0Light HeavyweightKOTC

1676Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
203 lbsWeight233 lbs
Absolute Combat AllianceTeamComplete Fitness and Martial Arts

What's at stake

David Heath is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Victor Valimaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David HeathNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-20→ 1656
Victor ValimakiNow 1585
If they win+15→ 1600
If they lose-9→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.94
30%
Strike accuracy
30%
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
49%
Strike defense
68%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.90
50%
Takedown accuracy
14%
57%
Takedown defense
0%
0.98
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David HeathVictor Valimaki
160016502011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
8 (44%)
Submission
6 (33%)
3 (17%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

David Heath68%
Victor Valimaki 32%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes David Heath a 68% favorite over Victor Valimaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

David Heath holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1585, a 91-point edge.

David Heath enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Victor Valimaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Heath finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valimaki 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.