Combat Edge Intelligence

David Hošek vs Dean Lister

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dean Lister
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Dean Lister

“The Boogeyman”

13-7-0MiddleweightADCC

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75.6"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renegade Prague GymTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David HošekNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Dean ListerNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.81
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

David HošekDean Lister
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Submission
11 (85%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

David Hošek67%
Dean Lister 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Hošek a 67% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dean Lister's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1558), separated by just 3 points.

David Hošek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

David Hošek finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Dean Lister 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.