Combat Edge Intelligence

David Hošek vs Kailan Hill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record4-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75.6"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renegade Prague GymTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David HošekNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Kailan HillNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.80
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David HošekKailan Hill
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
3 (23%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Hošek and Kailan Hill within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.

David Hošek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kailan Hill enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Hošek finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Kailan Hill 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.