David Hood vs Matthew O'Rourke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height-
TBDReach-
189 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Ryano Waterford
What's at stake
Matthew O'Rourke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — David Hood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1471
If they lose-22→ 1423
If they win+22→ 1493
If they lose-26→ 1445
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David HoodMatthew O'Rourke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke66%
David Hood 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 66% favorite over David Hood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Matthew O'Rourke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1445, a 26-point edge.
David Hood enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.