Combat Edge Intelligence

David Hošek vs Justin Sumter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75.6"Reach80,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renegade Prague GymTeamFighting Arts Academy CT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David HošekNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Justin SumterNow 1552
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.64
TBD
Strike defense
34%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.87
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David HošekJustin Sumter
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (23%)
Submission
5 (56%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

David Hošek62%
Justin Sumter 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Hošek a 62% favorite over Justin Sumter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1552), separated by just 3 points.

David Hošek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Hošek finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Justin Sumter 78%.

Justin Sumter carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.