David Kozma vs Francisco Prado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-15-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach69"
171 lbsWeight155 lbs
PriMMAt GymTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David KozmaFrancisco Prado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado69%
David Kozma 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 69% favorite over David Kozma in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Kozma's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.
David Kozma enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
David Kozma finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Prado 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.