Combat Edge Intelligence

David Kozma vs Justin Burlinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Kozma
cz

David Kozma

“Pink Panther”

34-15-0WelterweightOKMMA

1652Good

Tale of the tape

34-15-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David KozmaNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Justin BurlinsonNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.24
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.09
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
9.28

Trajectory

David KozmaJustin Burlinson
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (24%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
13 (38%)
Submission
8 (80%)
13 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Kozma and Justin Burlinson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.

David Kozma enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

David Kozma finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Justin Burlinson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.