David Lee vs Junior Assuncao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-10-0Record16-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team CrossfaceTeamAscension MMA
What's at stake
Junior Assuncao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — David Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1532
If they lose-11→ 1500
If they win+11→ 1635
If they lose-21→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David LeeJunior Assuncao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior Assuncao61%
David Lee 39%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior Assuncao a 61% favorite over David Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Junior Assuncao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1511, a 113-point edge.
Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Lee finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior Assuncao 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.