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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Lee vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
David Lee
gb-eng

David Lee

12-10-0FeatherweightFCC

1511Average
Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1509Average

Tale of the tape

12-10-0Record32-22-2
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David LeeNow 1511
If they win+16→ 1527
If they lose-16→ 1495
Melvin GuillardNow 1509
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.49
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
42%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
64%
50%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

David LeeMelvin Guillard
1500201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
12 (100%)
Submission
2 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Melvin Guillard57%
David Lee 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melvin Guillard a 57% favorite over David Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Lee's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1509), separated by just 2 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

David Lee finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.