Combat Edge Intelligence

David Lee vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
David Lee

David Lee

12-10-0FeatherweightFCC

1509Average
Melvin Guillard
us

Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

12-10-0Record32-22-2
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team CrossfaceTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David LeeNow 1509
If they win+17→ 1526
If they lose-15→ 1494
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.49
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
42%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
64%
50%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

David LeeMelvin Guillard
1500201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
12 (100%)
Submission
2 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

David Lee60%
Melvin Guillard 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes David Lee a 60% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Guillard's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1521), separated by just 12 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

David Lee finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.