Combat Edge Intelligence

David Lee vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Lee

David Lee

12-10-0FeatherweightFCC

1509Average

Tale of the tape

12-10-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team CrossfaceTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Tyson Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — David Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David LeeNow 1509
If they win+19→ 1528
If they lose-13→ 1496
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+13→ 1597
If they lose-19→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.49
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
50%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
42%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
1.87
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
50%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

David LeeTyson Griffin
15001550160020142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
12 (100%)
Submission
3 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Griffin70%
David Lee 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Griffin a 70% favorite over David Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Tyson Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1584 to 1509, a 75-point edge.

David Lee finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.