David Marshall vs Michael Dubois
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamStrike Academy
What's at stake
Michael Dubois is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — David Marshall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1516
If they lose-22→ 1468
If they win+11→ 1529
If they lose-13→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David MarshallMichael Dubois
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dubois72%
David Marshall 28%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 72% favorite over David Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Michael Dubois holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1518 to 1490, a 28-point edge.
David Marshall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
David Marshall finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dubois 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.