David Martinez vs Mario Bautista
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record17-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach69"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
If they win+16→ 1790
If they lose-16→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David MartinezMario Bautista
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Martinez51%
Mario Bautista 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes David Martinez a 51% favorite over Mario Bautista in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Bautista's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1774), separated by just 3 points.
David Martinez enters on a 10-fight win streak.
David Martinez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mario Bautista 59%.
Mario Bautista carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.