Combat Edge Intelligence

David Martinez vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamLaerte Barcelos Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MartinezNow 1771
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
47%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
69%
Strike defense
61%
0.60
Takedown avg.
2.22
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
100%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

David MartinezRaoni Barcelos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (14%)
4 (29%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

David Martinez60%
Raoni Barcelos 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes David Martinez a 60% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raoni Barcelos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1780), separated by just 9 points.

David Martinez enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

David Martinez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.