Combat Edge Intelligence

David Martinez vs Saimon Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach72"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

David Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Saimon Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David MartinezNow 1771
If they win+9→ 1780
If they lose-23→ 1748
Saimon OliveiraNow 1595
If they win+23→ 1618
If they lose-9→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
47%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
69%
Strike defense
47%
0.60
Takedown avg.
1.07
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
100%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

David MartinezSaimon Oliveira
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (61%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

David Martinez92%
Saimon Oliveira 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes David Martinez a 92% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

David Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1771 to 1595, a 176-point edge.

David Martinez enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

David Martinez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.

Saimon Oliveira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.