Combat Edge Intelligence

David Martinez vs TJ Dillashaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach67"
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonebreakers MMATeamThe Treigning Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MartinezNow 1771
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
TJ DillashawNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.82
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
47%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
69%
Strike defense
62%
0.60
Takedown avg.
1.56
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
100%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

David MartinezTJ Dillashaw
17001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (18%)
4 (29%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

David Martinez76%
TJ Dillashaw 24%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes David Martinez a 76% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1763), separated by just 8 points.

David Martinez enters on a 10-fight win streak.

David Martinez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.