Combat Edge Intelligence

David Michaud vs Garett Whiteley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamIndyBoxing and Grappling

What's at stake

David Michaud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Garett Whiteley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David MichaudNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-20→ 1642
Garett WhiteleyNow 1571
If they win+20→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
54%
Strike defense
46%
2.53
Takedown avg.
0
58%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
28%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

David MichaudGarett Whiteley
1600165017002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
5 (28%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Michaud78%
Garett Whiteley 22%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes David Michaud a 78% favorite over Garett Whiteley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

David Michaud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1571, a 91-point edge.

Garett Whiteley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Michaud finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Garett Whiteley 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.