David Michaud vs Jingliang Li
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Jingliang Li is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — David Michaud carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1648
If they win+11→ 1714
If they lose-13→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David MichaudJingliang Li
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jingliang Li74%
David Michaud 26%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jingliang Li a 74% favorite over David Michaud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jingliang Li holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1662, a 41-point edge.
Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
David Michaud finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.