Combat Edge Intelligence

David Michaud vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MichaudNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Terrance McKinneyNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
43%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
54%
Strike defense
43%
2.53
Takedown avg.
3.31
58%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
73%
0.72
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

David MichaudTerrance McKinney
160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
5 (28%)
Submission
9 (50%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance McKinney60%
David Michaud 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance McKinney a 60% favorite over David Michaud in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Michaud's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.

David Michaud finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.