David Mitchell vs Ismail Naurdiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record26-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamTop Team Salzburg
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David MitchellIsmail Naurdiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismail Naurdiev77%
David Mitchell 23%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 77% favorite over David Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Mitchell's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.
Ismail Naurdiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
David Mitchell finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ismail Naurdiev 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.