David Onama vs Gabriel Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamBrazilian TKO
What's at stake
David Onama is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1727
If they lose-18→ 1695
If they win+18→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David OnamaGabriel Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Onama63%
Gabriel Santos 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes David Onama a 63% favorite over Gabriel Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
David Onama holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1678, a 35-point edge.
Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
David Onama finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Santos 67%.
David Onama carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.