
David Onama vs Garrett Armfield
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
David Onama is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Garrett Armfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes David Onama a 73% favorite over Garrett Armfield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
David Onama holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1592, a 121-point edge.
Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
David Onama finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Armfield 80%.
David Onama carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.