David Roberts vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record14-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1478
If they lose-16→ 1446
If they win+16→ 1477
If they lose-16→ 1445
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David RobertsLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte60%
David Roberts 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 60% favorite over David Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Roberts's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1462 vs 1461), separated by just 1 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
David Roberts finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.