David Roberts vs Marcello Mello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record27-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamUniversidade da Luta
What's at stake
Marcello Mello is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — David Roberts carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1481
If they lose-13→ 1449
If they win+19→ 1549
If they lose-29→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Roberts52%
Marcello Mello 48%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes David Roberts a 52% favorite over Marcello Mello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcello Mello's way (40%).
Marcello Mello holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1462, a 68-point edge.
David Roberts finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcello Mello 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.