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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Roberts vs Valentino Greco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record1-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David RobertsNow 1462
If they win+16→ 1478
If they lose-16→ 1446
Valentino GrecoNow 1465
If they win+24→ 1489
If they lose-24→ 1441

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1485 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David RobertsValentino Greco
1450150020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Roberts51%
Valentino Greco 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Roberts a 51% favorite over Valentino Greco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valentino Greco's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1462 vs 1465), separated by just 3 points.

Valentino Greco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Roberts finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.