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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Samuel vs John Hathaway

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record18-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach75,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nikolay TeamTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David SamuelNow 1641
If they win+24→ 1665
If they lose-24→ 1617
John HathawayNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.61
Not available
Takedown accuracy
44%
Not available
Takedown defense
61%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

David SamuelJohn Hathaway
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
3 (75%)
Submission
3 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

John Hathaway55%
David Samuel 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 55% favorite over David Samuel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Samuel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.

David Samuel enters on a 6-fight win streak.

David Samuel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Hathaway 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.