Combat Edge Intelligence

David Terrell vs Matt Lindland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Terrell

David Terrell

“The Soul Assassin”

6-2-0MiddleweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record22-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

Matt Lindland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — David Terrell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David TerrellNow 1634
If they win+30→ 1664
If they lose-18→ 1616
Matt LindlandNow 1729
If they win+9→ 1738
If they lose-15→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
63%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
37%
Strike defense
52%
5.54
Takedown avg.
3.46
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
61%
5.54
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

David TerrellMatt Lindland
155016001650170017502004200520062007200820092010

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
4 (67%)
Submission
6 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting David Terrell and Matt Lindland within a point of even.

Matt Lindland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1634, a 95-point edge.

David Terrell enters on a 2-fight win streak.

David Terrell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Lindland 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.