Combat Edge Intelligence

David Teymur vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach39,5"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David TeymurNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Marcin HeldNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
43%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
55%
Strike defense
47%
0.94
Takedown avg.
2.46
33%
Takedown accuracy
47%
78%
Takedown defense
38%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

David TeymurMarcin Held
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (52%)
4 (50%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

David Teymur54%
Marcin Held 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Teymur a 54% favorite over Marcin Held in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Held's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

David Teymur finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.