Combat Edge Intelligence

David Teymur vs Martin Svensson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
73,0"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamFrontier MMA

What's at stake

David Teymur is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Martin Svensson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David TeymurNow 1678
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-19→ 1659
Martin SvenssonNow 1603
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
43%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.91
55%
Strike defense
39%
0.94
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
78%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David TeymurMartin Svensson
160016501700201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (60%)
4 (50%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

David Teymur78%
Martin Svensson 22%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes David Teymur a 78% favorite over Martin Svensson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

David Teymur holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1603, a 75-point edge.

David Teymur finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Martin Svensson 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.