David Tonatiuh Crol vs Dustin Neace
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-11-0Record25-21-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Pythagore Academy BordeauxTeamDamage Incorporated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David Tonatiuh CrolDustin Neace
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Tonatiuh Crol59%
Dustin Neace 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes David Tonatiuh Crol a 59% favorite over Dustin Neace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Neace's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1509), separated by just 2 points.
David Tonatiuh Crol enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Tonatiuh Crol finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Neace 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.