David Velasquez vs Mohammed Amine Moufrij
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record1-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSaracens MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1500
If they lose-16→ 1468
If they win+24→ 1504
If they lose-24→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David VelasquezMohammed Amine Moufrij
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mohammed Amine Moufrij62%
David Velasquez 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Amine Moufrij a 62% favorite over David Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Velasquez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1484 vs 1480), separated by just 4 points.
David Velasquez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.