Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Drew Fickett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Drew Fickett
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Drew Fickett

“Night Rider”

43-22-0LightweightSFP

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record43-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight151 lbs
UFD GymTeamTeam Scrub

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
Drew FickettNow 1557
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
41%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.42
17%
Takedown accuracy
38%
57%
Takedown defense
31%
1.69
Submission avg.
1.90

Trajectory

David ZawadaDrew Fickett
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (9%)
5 (25%)
Submission
31 (72%)
3 (15%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada71%
Drew Fickett 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 71% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1557), separated by just 3 points.

Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Drew Fickett 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.