Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Greg Soto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
Greg SotoNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
41%
Strike accuracy
64%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.49
17%
Takedown accuracy
27%
57%
Takedown defense
44%
1.69
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

David ZawadaGreg Soto
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (25%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (15%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada66%
Greg Soto 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 66% favorite over Greg Soto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1557), separated by just 3 points.

Greg Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Greg Soto 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.