David Zawada vs Hector Urbina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-13-0Record17-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach73,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
If they win+12→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David ZawadaHector Urbina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Zawada64%
Hector Urbina 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 64% favorite over Hector Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Urbina's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.
Hector Urbina enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Hector Urbina 88%.
David Zawada carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.