Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Jesse Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record23-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
Jesse SandersNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
0
41%
Strike accuracy
0%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.45
56%
Strike defense
35%
0.97
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
50%
1.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David ZawadaJesse Sanders
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
5 (25%)
Submission
13 (59%)
3 (15%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada59%
Jesse Sanders 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 59% favorite over Jesse Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Sanders's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Sanders 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.