Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Jingliang Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record19-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

Jingliang Li is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — David Zawada carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+17→ 1577
If they lose-7→ 1553
Jingliang LiNow 1703
If they win+7→ 1710
If they lose-17→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
41%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.19
17%
Takedown accuracy
42%
57%
Takedown defense
60%
1.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David ZawadaJingliang Li
1550160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
10 (53%)
5 (25%)
Submission
4 (21%)
3 (15%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jingliang Li71%
David Zawada 29%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Jingliang Li a 71% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Jingliang Li holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1560, a 143-point edge.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.

David Zawada carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.