Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Mikey Burnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mikey Burnett
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Mikey Burnett

“The Eastside Assassin”

5-2-0WelterweightTUF

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'6"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamLion's Den

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
Mikey BurnettNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.97
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.69
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

David ZawadaMikey Burnett
150015501600199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
5 (25%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (15%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Mikey Burnett52%
David Zawada 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mikey Burnett a 52% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Zawada's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1557), separated by just 3 points.

David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mikey Burnett 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.