Combat Edge Intelligence

David Zawada vs Nico Musoke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-13-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach75.00
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
Nico MusokeNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
41%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.97
Takedown avg.
1.16
17%
Takedown accuracy
19%
57%
Takedown defense
82%
1.69
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

David ZawadaNico Musoke
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
5 (25%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (15%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada57%
Nico Musoke 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 57% favorite over Nico Musoke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nico Musoke's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Nico Musoke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

David Zawada finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nico Musoke 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.