Davlet Karataev vs Igor Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record25-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
69"ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Davlet KarataevIgor Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Davlet Karataev66%
Igor Araujo 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Davlet Karataev a 66% favorite over Igor Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.
Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Igor Araujo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Igor Araujo 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.