Davlet Karataev vs Jesse Lennox
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1609 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davlet KarataevJesse Lennox
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesse Lennox54%
Davlet Karataev 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Lennox a 54% favorite over Davlet Karataev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Davlet Karataev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.
Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jesse Lennox enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Lennox 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.