Davlet Karataev vs Joshua Burkman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record28-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach39,0"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1610 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davlet KarataevJoshua Burkman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman54%
Davlet Karataev 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 54% favorite over Davlet Karataev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Davlet Karataev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1644), separated by just 2 points.
Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.